Draft Breakdown: 3rd Round (1999-2011)

Continuing our draft breakdown, here is the 3rd round.

Quick reminder:  To count as a starter, a player must have either started for 5 seasons or, if they haven’t been in the league that long, started for at least half of their career.  Not a bulletproof method (doesn’t account for the quality of the starters), but good enough to be informative.

Also, I’ve added rows for FBs and Punters, since there were a few of them drafted in this round.  Players and stats are from Pro-football-reference.com.

Here is the 3rd round chart (side-by-side with the 2nd round chart):

Screen Shot 2013-01-23 at 5.01.18 PM

– Notice that Tackles and Centers are still at or above 50% starters, compared to 70% for T/Cs taken in the 2nd round.

– The biggest decline was among DBs, with 20% of 3rd rounders starting compared to 51% for those drafted in the 2nd round.

– There was very little difference between 2nd round TEs (5/15/55) and 3rd round TEs (3/10/48).

– Less than 1 in 5 WRs taken ended up a starter.

Just a few more round to go, then I’ll try to put a graph together that lets us look at everything at once and identify the optimal rounds for each position.


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