Now that summer is here, I’ve decided to scale back the posts a bit. Ideally, this will mean continued daily posts, though of a shorter variety. There’s less relevant information to discuss, and I’d rather not just ramble every day (I try to make every post interesting/thought-provoking/or in some other way valuable). However, that may mean an occasional day without a post; I know you’re all heartbroken. I’ve assembled a lot of data and want to do some higher level things that require more than a few hours work. On days without posts, you can rest assured that I’m spending some time on these larger projects.
We’ll obviously ramp back up as the season approaches.
In the meantime, I’m working on my articles for the Almanac. Here are a few notes to come out of that:
– Eli Manning has a career Passer Rating of just 82.7 and a TD/INT ratio of 1.47.
– Jason Campbell’s career Passer Rating is 82.5 and his TD/INT ratio is 1.46.
– Donovan McNabb’ career Rating is 85.6 and his TD/INT ratio is 2.0.
Eli Manning is likely headed to the Hall of Fame. You may commence vomiting now…
There is no statistic more important for evaluating college QBs than completion percentage. I’m straying dangerously close to my Almanac stuff now, but obviously that will be more detailed. For now, I’ll just give you a chart, with Pro Passer Rating on the Y-axis and College completion % on the X-axis:
The correlation value is a moderate .324. Given the difficulty of projecting human performance in addition to all the other variables involved, that’s actually an extremely strong indicator.
Kyle Boller had a college completion percentage of just 47.8%.
He was selected #19 overall in the 2003 NFL draft.
27 Pro Bowlers were selected after him (7 more went undrafted, including Tony Romo).